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Scratcher math

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  • Scratcher math

    So over the last week I bought 100 scratchers. I had some luck in December with a batch of 40, and figured I'd roll the dice (as it were) again. Needless to say, it's always a cosmic joke with the UE RNG. 100 scratchers. 1 refill. One. No LTs or crate rolls. Everything else was AKs, cash, cars and boats.

    My understanding was that the probability of getting a single scratcher was 1 in 6. There aren't enough zeroes to describe the probability of scratching 100 times and only getting 1 refill.

    Therefore, I'd like an explanation. 100 is a fair sample size, and the results aren't statistically improbable. They're statistically impossible. And I'm not saying that the RNG has been tweaked by the new owner. But I'm done spending until an explanation is provided. And if I don't get one, at the very least, I'm getting a refund.

  • #2
    Re: Scratcher math

    Were you super LSI? I do remember that in this post right here you'll better off refilling with normal refills (10 fp) for average returns (well if you're addicted to level that 450 fp you used will probably gains you xx level):

    Tbh, i don't even know if that still applied now. But as many people before me already said, the key of gambling was do not get your hopes too high or it will break your heart.
    Last edited by tambunan; 01-20-2017, 08:49 AM.


    • #3
      Re: Scratcher math

      I think there's a set amount of prizes for each category except for common prizes that's why you never see more then one person win the top prize.


      • #4
        Re: Scratcher math

        Actually there are known 2-3 cases of 5* Reaper from scratchers.


        • #5
          Re: Scratcher math

          Originally posted by KOFOLA View Post
          I think there's a set amount of prizes for each category except for common prizes that's why you never see more then one person win the top prize.
          If this were true then because the scratchers are new the chances of a refill would be higher.


          • #6
            Re: Scratcher math

            60 scratchers, 21 refills. It's just luck and you got hit hard.


            • #7
              Re: Scratcher math

              Tap the i on the top left of the scratcher, shows you the alleged odds there for free scratchers and paid ones.


              • #8
                Re: Scratcher math

                Originally posted by Guy View Post
                60 scratchers, 21 refills. It's just luck and you got hit hard.
                This is true. As a player with a double lsi toon I scratch weekly. Sometimes only $20 worth of fp. Sometimes 2 vips worth. I've been stiffed like you were before and at other times I've gotten enough refills, crate rolls, and lts to be worth more then double the fp spent. It's all luck of the draw. You go and buy a real life scratcher from a convenient store and see if your results differ or not. Scratchers are a gamble, not a guarantee to get something good.

                Edit: to devs reading, I still wouldn't mind a better chance for refills. Make my money actually worth it to me 😄
                Last edited by Pokeypooky; 01-22-2017, 12:50 PM. Reason: Addendum


                • #9
                  Re: Scratcher math

                  Got a 30x stam refill once...